Global temperature
Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.
Global surface temperature about 1.7°C above pre-industrial
Why it's at this level
ERA5 data for 26 Oct put the global surface air temperature 0.86°C above the 1991–2020 average, roughly 1.74°C above pre-industrial levels and past the 1.6°C Alert line, though not a record for the date. Readings eased from about 1.9°C in mid-October. The strong El Niño is adding to long-term warming.
What this means for you
Higher global temperatures raise the odds of extreme heat, heavy rain and drought worldwide over the coming year.
Part of a wider situation
Super El Niño: ONI +2.2: drought in Australia and East Africa, record warmth and weaker carbon sinks.
Why it matters
Global temperature is the master climate variable; each tenth of a degree raises extreme-weather risk.
What moves it
Greenhouse gases, El Niño/La Niña, aerosols, solar cycle.