{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"global-temp","name":"Global temperature","domain":"climate","domain_name":"Climate","status":"alert","trend":"stable","horizon":"chronic","tier":"daily","value":"+1.74°C vs pre-industrial","value_num":1.82,"summary":"Global surface temperature about 1.7°C above pre-industrial","state":"ERA5 data for 26 Oct put the global surface air temperature 0.86°C above the 1991–2020 average, roughly 1.74°C above pre-industrial levels and past the 1.6°C Alert line, though not a record for the date. Readings eased from about 1.9°C in mid-October. The strong El Niño is adding to long-term warming.","for_you":"Higher global temperatures raise the odds of extreme heat, heavy rain and drought worldwide over the coming year.","rubric_hit":"> +1.6°C, or a record high for the calendar date.","situations":["super-el-nino"],"provenance":"metric","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Climate Reanalyzer — Daily global surface air temperature (ERA5)","url":"https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/","date":"2026-10-25"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/global-temp","why":"Global temperature is the master climate variable; each tenth of a degree raises extreme-weather risk.","drivers":"Greenhouse gases, El Niño/La Niña, aerosols, solar cycle.","rubric":{"alert":"> +1.6°C, or a record high for the calendar date.","watch":"+1.3°C to +1.6°C.","normal":"Daily global anomaly < +1.3°C above pre-industrial (ERA5 vs 1991–2020 + 0.88°C)."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","alert",1.82],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","alert",1.82]]}