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Canary Global risk status

Ebola & haemorrhagic fevers

Alert · Global Health

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

AlertWorsening10,274 cases (28 Oct)

Over 10,000 Ebola cases in DR Congo; imported cases in Kenya and Nigeria

Why it's at this level

ECDC's 30 Oct update reported 10,274 confirmed Bundibugyo Ebola cases in DR Congo and 4,992 deaths (data to 28 Oct) across eight provinces, with Ituri the worst affected. Kenya confirmed an imported case on 6 Oct and Nigeria one on 20 Oct, within the past 30 days. ECDC rates the EU/EEA risk as very low.

What this means for you

Risk to the UK public is very low. Travellers to affected areas should follow NaTHNaC and FCDO advice.

Part of a wider situation

Ebola outbreak, DR Congo: Over 10,000 cases with imported cases in Kenya and Nigeria; a WHO emergency (PHEIC) since May.

Why it matters

Ebola, Marburg and similar viruses kill a large share of those infected; outbreaks that reach cities or cross borders can overwhelm health systems.

What moves it

Surveillance and contact tracing, vaccine availability (none licensed for some strains), conflict, cross-border travel, health-worker infections.

Global HealthChecked every runChecked 1 Nov, 11:52 UK. At this level since 31 Oct, 11:26.

Status at each of the last 8 checks

How it's rated

Alert
More than 1,000 cases, or spread to a new country in the past 30 days.
Watch
An active outbreak contained within one country, or fewer than 1,000 cases.
Normal
No active Ebola/Marburg outbreak, or outbreaks declining with no new countries affected in 60 days.

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