US dollar
Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.
NormalStableDXY 102.0, 3m +2.1%
Dollar index steady around 102
Why it's at this level
The DXY dollar index was 102.0 at the 30 Oct close, up about 2% over three months, within the normal range. Fed hikes have supported the dollar without the violent moves that squeeze dollar borrowers abroad.
What this means for you
Currency conditions are orderly. A stronger dollar would raise the sterling cost of oil, which is priced in dollars.
Why it matters
The dollar is the world's funding currency; violent moves squeeze emerging markets and anyone with dollar debts.
What moves it
Fed vs other central banks, safe-haven demand, trade policy, reserve diversification.
Status at each of the last 8 checks
How it's rated
Alert
DXY moved > 8% in 3 months, or dollar funding stress (Fed swap lines drawn materially).
Watch
DXY moved 5–8% in 3 months, or outside 90–108.
Normal
DXY moved < 5% over 3 months and is between 90 and 108.