# US dollar — NORMAL (stable)
id dollar · Markets · horizon acute · checked 2026-11-01T11:52Z · at this level since 2026-10-31T11:26Z · stale after 2026-11-02T01:52Z
Assessed by an AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics; not a forecast or advice · CC BY 4.0 · https://canary.danleech.com/s/dollar

Value: DXY 102.0, 3m +2.1%
Rated on: DXY moved < 5% over 3 months and is between 90 and 108.

Dollar index steady around 102

Why it's at this level: The DXY dollar index was 102.0 at the 30 Oct close, up about 2% over three months, within the normal range. Fed hikes have supported the dollar without the violent moves that squeeze dollar borrowers abroad.

What this means for you: Currency conditions are orderly. A stronger dollar would raise the sterling cost of oil, which is priced in dollars.

Why it matters: The dollar is the world's funding currency; violent moves squeeze emerging markets and anyone with dollar debts.
What moves it: Fed vs other central banks, safe-haven demand, trade policy, reserve diversification.

Rubric — Alert: DXY moved > 8% in 3 months, or dollar funding stress (Fed swap lines drawn materially). | Watch: DXY moved 5–8% in 3 months, or outside 90–108. | Normal: DXY moved < 5% over 3 months and is between 90 and 108.

Sources:
- Yahoo Finance — US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB) (2026-10-30) https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DX-Y.NYB