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Canary Global risk status

GB energy supply margins

Pending · UK Watch

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

Pending

This signal has not been assessed yet. The next scheduled run will rate it.

Why it matters

When gas or electricity margins tighten, Britain risks price spikes and, at worst, controlled disconnections in winter.

What moves it

Gas imports and storage, wind output, interconnectors, plant outages, cold weather.

UK WatchChecked daily

How it's rated

Alert
A Gas Deficit Warning, a high risk of demand control notice, or demand control used.
Watch
NESO issues an Electricity Margin Notice or capacity market notice, or National Gas issues a Gas Margins Notice.
Normal
NESO and National Gas report adequate margins; no notices issued.

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