{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"uk-rates","name":"UK inflation & rates","domain":"uk","domain_name":"UK Watch","status":"watch","trend":"worsening","horizon":"acute","tier":"daily","value":"CPI 3.5% (Sep); BoE meets 5 Nov","value_num":3.5,"summary":"UK CPI 3.5% and a Bank of England rate rise expected on 5 Nov","state":"UK CPI inflation rose to 3.5% in September from 3.1%. Bank Rate is 3.75%, and money markets almost fully price a rise at the 5 Nov meeting, with further increases priced for February and July (Trading Economics, 30 Oct).","for_you":"Mortgage rates are more likely to rise than fall in the coming months. Savings rates may also edge up.","rubric_hit":"CPI 2.5–4.0%, or the BoE reversing course.","situations":["energy-inflation"],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Trading Economics — UK 10-year gilt yield and BoE expectations","url":"https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/government-bond-yield","date":"2026-10-30"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/uk-rates","why":"UK inflation and the Bank Rate set mortgage, savings and business borrowing costs for the whole country.","drivers":"Energy prices, wages, services inflation, sterling, global rates.","rubric":{"alert":"CPI > 4.0%, or an emergency BoE move.","watch":"CPI 2.5–4.0%, or the BoE reversing course.","normal":"CPI ≤ 2.5% and Bank of England moving gradually or on hold."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","watch",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","watch",3.5]]}