Other armed conflicts
Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.
Pending
This signal has not been assessed yet. The next scheduled run will rate it.
Why it matters
Wars and flashpoints outside Canary's named list — such as Yemen, Haiti, Ethiopia–Eritrea, Afghanistan–Pakistan, Libya and Somalia — can escalate with little warning.
What moves it
Coups, border clashes, insurgencies, state collapse, outside intervention.
How it's rated
Alert
A new interstate war, a capital under attack, or mass-atrocity warnings in a conflict not tracked elsewhere.
Watch
Crisis Group's CrisisWatch or credible reporting shows a significant deterioration in a conflict not tracked elsewhere.
Normal
No conflict outside the named list is escalating sharply.