{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"oil","name":"Oil (Brent)","domain":"energy","domain_name":"Energy & Commodities","status":"alert","trend":"worsening","horizon":"acute","tier":"fast","value":"$113.4, 1m +11%","value_num":113.43,"summary":"Brent above $110 as Hormuz stays largely closed","state":"Brent last settled at $113 on 30 Oct, above the $110 Alert line and up 11% over the month. Iran said four tankers caught fire after striking mines near Hormuz on 31 Oct, and Iran halted tanker movements the same day. In Doha talks Tehran has offered to reopen the strait within two days, on conditions the US has not accepted.","for_you":"Expect continued high petrol, diesel and heating-oil prices, with knock-on effects on transport costs and inflation.","rubric_hit":"Brent > $110, or 1-month change > +30%, or a major physical supply outage (> 2 mb/d).","situations":["us-iran-war"],"provenance":"metric","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Yahoo Finance — Brent crude futures","url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BZ%3DF","date":"2026-10-30"},{"title":"Al Jazeera — Iran FM says US outreach a 'positive step' as delegation in Qatar","url":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/31/iran-fm-says-us-outreach-a-positive-step-as-delegation-in-qatar-for-talks","date":"2026-10-31"},{"title":"Khaleej Times — Iran war live updates, 31 October","url":"https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/us-israel-iran-saudi-arabia-yemen-war-live-updates-october-31-2026","date":"2026-10-31"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/oil","why":"Oil feeds inflation, transport and household budgets; price spikes have preceded most post-war recessions.","drivers":"OPEC+ output, Middle East supply risk, sanctions, demand, inventories, shipping disruption.","rubric":{"alert":"Brent > $110, or 1-month change > +30%, or a major physical supply outage (> 2 mb/d).","watch":"Brent $85–110, or 1-month change +15–30%.","normal":"Brent < $85 and 1-month change < +15%."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","alert",113.43],["2026-10-31T11:43:28Z","alert",113.43],["2026-10-31T11:44:16Z","alert",113.43],["2026-10-31T17:48:45Z","alert",113.43],["2026-10-31T23:53:37Z","alert",113.43],["2026-10-31T23:53:42Z","alert",113.43],["2026-11-01T05:43:22Z","alert",113.43],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","alert",113.43]]}