{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"nhs-pressure","name":"NHS & respiratory","domain":"uk","domain_name":"UK Watch","status":"normal","trend":"worsening","horizon":"acute","tier":"daily","value":"Flu low, RSV at baseline (wk 43)","value_num":null,"summary":"Flu, COVID and RSV at low or baseline levels; flu usually rises in November","state":"UKHSA's 29 Oct update (week 43) showed flu stable at low levels (6.6% positivity), COVID low and falling (8.3%), and RSV rising but at baseline. UKHSA notes flu usually picks up in November; the next update is due 5 Nov. Resident doctors in England strike from 14 to 19 Nov.","for_you":"If eligible, get your flu and COVID vaccines before winter. Use NHS 111 for urgent but non-emergency care.","rubric_hit":"Respiratory activity at baseline and no widespread critical incidents.","situations":[],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"GOV.UK — Latest UKHSA weekly winter virus surveillance data","url":"https://www.gov.uk/government/news/latest-ukhsa-weekly-winter-virus-surveillance-data","date":"2026-10-29"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/nhs-pressure","why":"Winter respiratory waves and NHS capacity directly affect access to care for everyone in the UK.","drivers":"Flu, COVID, RSV, norovirus, staffing, strikes.","rubric":{"alert":"High or very high flu activity nationally, or widespread critical incidents.","watch":"Respiratory activity above baseline and rising, or several trusts in critical incidents.","normal":"Respiratory activity at baseline and no widespread critical incidents."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","normal",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","normal",null]]}