{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"myanmar","name":"Myanmar","domain":"conflict","domain_name":"Armed Conflict","status":"watch","trend":"stable","horizon":"acute","tier":"daily","value":"Civil war; no major city changed hands","value_num":null,"summary":"Civil war grinds on; junta relies on air strikes after failed Rakhine offensive","state":"Fighting continued in Arakan, Sagaing, Shan and Chin in late October: the Arakan Army reported sinking two junta vessels near Sittwe on 26 Oct, and resistance media reported a junta air strike on Sittwe that killed 11 civilians on 23 Oct (unverified). No major city has changed hands this month.","for_you":"Follow FCDO advice; much of Myanmar is unsafe for travel.","rubric_hit":"Civil war at sustained intensity.","situations":[],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Burma Coup Resistance Notes — 31 October","url":"https://burmacoupresistancenotes.substack.com/p/burma-coup-resistance-notes-october-c7c","date":"2026-10-31"},{"title":"Mizzima — 29 October","url":"https://eng.mizzima.com/2026/10/29/40188","date":"2026-10-29"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/myanmar","why":"A multi-sided civil war affecting 50 million people, with spillover to China, Thailand, India and Bangladesh.","drivers":"Resistance offensives, junta airstrikes, Chinese mediation, elections, humanitarian access.","rubric":{"alert":"Major city falls, mass-casualty airstrikes, or cross-border escalation.","watch":"Civil war at sustained intensity.","normal":"Nationwide ceasefire holding."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","watch",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","watch",null]]}