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Canary Global risk status

Mpox

Watch · Global Health

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

WatchWorseningClade I local spread in US

Clade I mpox now spreading locally in the US

Why it's at this level

Clark County, Nevada reported its first clade I mpox case with no travel link (20 Oct), and Stanislaus County, California has confirmed two clade I cases, signs of local transmission of the more severe strain outside Africa. No new US clusters were reported as of 1 Nov.

What this means for you

Risk to the general public is low. Vaccination is available for those at higher risk via sexual health services.

Why it matters

Clade I mpox is more severe and has spread beyond Central Africa.

What moves it

Case growth, vaccine access, travel-linked spread.

Global HealthChecked dailyChecked 1 Nov, 11:52 UK. At this level since 31 Oct, 11:26.

Status at each of the last 2 checks

How it's rated

Alert
PHEIC in effect with accelerating growth.
Watch
Clade I spreading outside Africa or a regional surge.
Normal
Cases declining; no PHEIC.

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