# US jobless claims — PENDING
id jobless-claims · Economy · horizon acute · checked — · at this level since — · stale after —
Assessed by an AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics; not a forecast or advice · CC BY 4.0 · https://canary.danleech.com/s/jobless-claims

Not assessed yet; the next scheduled run will rate it.

Why it matters: Weekly claims are the earliest hard data on US layoffs; a sustained rise usually comes before the unemployment rate turns.
What moves it: Layoffs, hiring freezes, federal job cuts, storms, strikes and seasonal quirks.

Rubric — Alert: More than 30% above its 52-week low. | Watch: 15–30% above its 52-week low. | Normal: The 4-week average of initial claims is less than 15% above its 52-week low.