# Europe hybrid attacks — PENDING
id hybrid-threats · Geopolitics · horizon acute · checked — · at this level since — · stale after —
Assessed by an AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics; not a forecast or advice · CC BY 4.0 · https://canary.danleech.com/s/hybrid-threats

Not assessed yet; the next scheduled run will rate it.

Why it matters: Sabotage, arson and drone incursions over airports and bases are how state confrontation reaches daily life in the UK and Europe.
What moves it: Russia–NATO tensions, drone and cyber capabilities, proxy recruitment, elections.

Rubric — Alert: Repeated airport or infrastructure shutdowns across several countries, or sabotage causing casualties or a major outage. | Watch: Drone incursions close an airport or military base, or a sabotage incident is attributed to a state. | Normal: No significant attributed sabotage or airspace incursions in Europe this week.