{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"gulf-iran","name":"Gulf / US–Iran war","domain":"conflict","domain_name":"Armed Conflict","status":"pending","trend":null,"horizon":"acute","tier":"fast","value":null,"value_num":null,"summary":null,"state":null,"for_you":null,"rubric_hit":null,"situations":["us-iran-war"],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":null,"changed_at":null,"stale_after":null,"sources":[],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/gulf-iran","why":"Direct hostilities between Iran and the US or Israel threaten Gulf energy infrastructure, the Strait of Hormuz and the wider region.","drivers":"Strikes and retaliation, attacks on shipping and Gulf states, mediation and ceasefire talks, US force posture.","rubric":{"alert":"Active strikes between states, attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure or shipping, or the Strait of Hormuz substantially closed.","watch":"A ceasefire or stalemate with sporadic strikes, or credible threats of renewed strikes.","normal":"No direct state-on-state hostilities; diplomacy active."},"history":[]}