{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"gold","name":"Gold (fear gauge)","domain":"markets","domain_name":"Markets","status":"normal","trend":"improving","horizon":"acute","tier":"fast","value":"$3,899, 3m -6.1%","value_num":3898.9,"summary":"Gold off its highs at about $3,900 as real yields rise","state":"Gold futures last traded at $3,899 (30 Oct close), about 6% lower over three months. The fall despite the Gulf war is consistent with rising US yields and Fed hikes, and gold is not signalling financial panic.","for_you":"Gold's fall suggests markets see the energy shock as an inflation and rates problem rather than a financial-system crisis.","rubric_hit":"3-month change between −8% and +10%.","situations":[],"provenance":"metric","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Yahoo Finance — Gold futures (GC=F)","url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GC%3DF","date":"2026-10-30"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/gold","why":"Gold is the oldest crisis hedge; disorderly surges signal fear about currencies, inflation or geopolitics.","drivers":"Real interest rates, central-bank buying, geopolitical fear, dollar moves.","rubric":{"alert":"3-month gain > 20%, or a single-week move > 7% either way.","watch":"3-month gain 10–20%, or a fall > 8%.","normal":"3-month change between −8% and +10%."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-10-31T11:43:28Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-10-31T11:44:16Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-10-31T17:48:45Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-10-31T23:53:37Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-10-31T23:53:42Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-11-01T05:43:22Z","normal",3898.9],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","normal",3898.9]]}