{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"global-pmi","name":"Global activity (PMI)","domain":"economy","domain_name":"Economy","status":"normal","trend":"improving","horizon":"acute","tier":"daily","value":"Sep composite: joint-highest since 2021","value_num":null,"summary":"Global PMI strong in September, but October flashes and China's PMI softened","state":"The J.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI rose in September to its joint-highest level since 2021 (published 6 Oct). October readings so far point to softer momentum: euro-area flashes slowed (23 Oct) and China's official manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 (31 Oct). The October global figures are due 2–4 Nov.","for_you":"Global activity has held up well so far despite the energy shock.","rubric_hit":"J.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI > 51.","situations":[],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"S&P Global — Global PMI hits joint-highest since 2021","url":"https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/10/global-pmi-hits-joint-highest-since-2021-as-economic-expansion-reaches-all-sectors","date":"2026-10-06"},{"title":"Trading Economics — China NBS manufacturing PMI","url":"https://tradingeconomics.com/china/business-confidence","date":"2026-10-31"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/global-pmi","why":"Purchasing-manager surveys are the fastest read on whether the world economy is expanding or contracting.","drivers":"Orders, inventories, trade policy, energy costs, credit conditions.","rubric":{"alert":"Global composite < 49.","watch":"Global composite 49–51, or manufacturing < 49.","normal":"J.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI > 51."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","normal",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","normal",null]]}