{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"gilts","name":"Gilt market","domain":"uk","domain_name":"UK Watch","status":"watch","trend":"improving","horizon":"acute","tier":"fast","value":"10y 5.29% (30 Oct)","value_num":5.29,"summary":"Gilt yields ease after the Budget but stay near 19-year highs","state":"The 10-year gilt yield was 5.29% at the 30 Oct close and the 30-year 5.72%, near multi-decade highs. Yields fell to their lowest since 22 Sep after Chancellor John Healey's first Budget met the fiscal rules. Markets reopen on 2 Nov ahead of the 5 Nov Bank of England decision.","for_you":"Fixed-rate mortgage pricing tracks gilt yields, so new fixed deals remain expensive by recent standards.","rubric_hit":"30y gilt at multi-decade highs, or 10y moved 40–75bp in a month, or a weak auction.","situations":[],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Trading Economics — UK 10-year gilt yield","url":"https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/government-bond-yield","date":"2026-10-30"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/gilts","why":"Gilt yields set UK mortgage rates and the government's borrowing costs; the 2022 LDI crisis showed how fast it can break.","drivers":"Fiscal credibility, BoE policy, inflation, global bond moves, pension-fund flows.","rubric":{"alert":"BoE intervention, or 10y moved > 75bp in a month.","watch":"30y gilt at multi-decade highs, or 10y moved 40–75bp in a month, or a weak auction.","normal":"10y gilt moved < 40bp in a month and auctions orderly."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","watch",null],["2026-10-31T11:43:28Z","watch",null],["2026-10-31T11:44:16Z","watch",null],["2026-10-31T17:48:45Z","watch",null],["2026-10-31T23:53:37Z","watch",null],["2026-10-31T23:53:42Z","watch",null],["2026-11-01T05:43:22Z","watch",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","watch",5.29]]}