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Canary Global risk status

Container freight

Alert · Energy & Commodities

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

AlertEasingWCI $4,429/FEU (29 Oct)

Container rates above $4,400/FEU despite a 3% weekly fall

Why it's at this level

Drewry's World Container Index fell 3% to $4,429 per 40ft container on 29 Oct, still above the $4,000 Alert line; Shanghai–Los Angeles was $7,514 and Shanghai–New York $9,631. Gulf disruption and rerouting keep capacity tight. The next WCI reading is due 5 Nov.

What this means for you

High shipping costs typically feed into prices of imported goods with a lag of a few months.

Part of a wider situation

US–Iran war and Gulf energy shock: War in stalemate with Hormuz largely closed: Brent above $110, TTF above €100, tanker attacks on 29–30 Oct.

Why it matters

Container rates feed through to goods prices months later; spikes are an early inflation and supply-chain warning.

What moves it

Chokepoint diversions, capacity, demand, port congestion, tariffs front-running.

Energy & CommoditiesChecked dailyChecked 1 Nov, 11:52 UK. At this level since 31 Oct, 11:26.

Status at each of the last 2 checks

How it's rated

Alert
WCI > $4,000/FEU, or > +60% in a month.
Watch
WCI $2,500–4,000/FEU, or +30–60% in a month.
Normal
Drewry World Container Index < $2,500/FEU and 1-month change < +30%.

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