{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"food-prices","name":"Global food prices","domain":"energy","domain_name":"Energy & Commodities","status":"alert","trend":"worsening","horizon":"acute","tier":"daily","value":"FAO index 136.0 (Sep)","value_num":136.0,"summary":"FAO food index at 136, up 5.8% on a year","state":"The FAO Food Price Index rose 1.5% in September to 136.0, 5.8% above a year earlier and above the 135 Alert line (published 8 Oct). Cereals rose 5.1% and sugar 6.1%, driven by Black Sea logistics, dry weather and Hormuz shipping uncertainty. The October figure is due in the first week of November.","for_you":"Food inflation is likely to stay elevated. Import-dependent poorer countries are most exposed.","rubric_hit":"FFPI > 135, or multiple major exporters ban exports of a staple.","situations":[],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"MercoPress — FAO Food Price Index rises in September","url":"https://en.mercopress.com/2026/10/08/fao-food-price-index-rises-in-september-amid-weather-concerns-and-transport-disruptions","date":"2026-10-08"},{"title":"FAO — Food Price Index","url":"https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/food-prices","why":"Food prices drive inflation, hunger and political unrest; poorer countries spend up to half of income on food.","drivers":"Harvests, weather, fertiliser and energy costs, export bans, conflict in breadbaskets.","rubric":{"alert":"FFPI > 135, or multiple major exporters ban exports of a staple.","watch":"FFPI 120–135, or y/y > +5%, or a major exporter restricts exports.","normal":"FAO Food Price Index < 120 and y/y change < +5%."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","alert",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","alert",136.0]]}