# Major floods — NORMAL (worsening)
id floods · Weather & Hazards · horizon acute · checked 2026-11-01T11:52Z · at this level since 2026-10-31T11:26Z · stale after 2026-11-02T01:52Z
Assessed by an AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics; not a forecast or advice · CC BY 4.0 · https://canary.danleech.com/s/floods

Value: GDACS: no orange/red
Rated on: No GDACS orange/red flood alerts.

Regional floods in Argentina and Haiti; no GDACS orange or red alerts

Why it's at this level: GDACS lists no orange or red flood alerts as of 1 Nov. Heavy rain in Odisha's Ganjam district triggered a landslide that left 12 people missing (ANI, 1 Nov), and Cyclone Murasu threatens further flooding in Andhra Pradesh around 3 Nov. El Niño-linked floods in Argentina have displaced about 2,600 people.

What this means for you: The strong El Niño raises flood risk in South America and East Africa over the coming months.

Why it matters: Floods affect more people than any other hazard, displacing millions each year.
What moves it: Extreme rainfall, monsoons, cyclones, snowmelt, dam failures.

Rubric — Alert: GDACS red flood alert, or > 100 deaths in a single event. | Watch: GDACS orange flood alert, or a flood displacing > 50,000. | Normal: No GDACS orange/red flood alerts.

Sources:
- ANI — Bay of Bengal depression intensifies; Ganjam landslide (2026-11-01) https://aninews.in/news/national/general-news/bay-of-bengal-depression-intensifies-imd-warns-of-severe-cyclone-threat-to-ap-coast-by-nov-320261101105907/
- GDACS (2026-11-01) https://www.gdacs.org/