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Canary Global risk status

Famine

Watch · Humanitarian

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

WatchWorseningRisk-of-famine alerts: Somalia, Sudan

Famine confirmed in Gaza and Sudan in 2025; El Niño raises new risks in East Africa

Why it's at this level

The 2026 Global Report on Food Crises (24 Apr) confirmed famine conditions in Gaza and Sudan during 2025. FEWS NET (6 Oct) flags a risk of famine in southern Somalia if El Niño floods are extreme, and drought threatens Sudan and South Sudan. No current IPC Phase 5 classification was confirmed as of 1 Nov.

What this means for you

Humanitarian agencies report record funding gaps; reputable appeals include WFP and UNICEF.

Part of a wider situation

Super El Niño: ONI +2.2: drought in Australia and East Africa, record warmth and weaker carbon sinks.

Part of a wider situation

Sudan war: Record drone attacks on civilians in October; the army rejects talks; famine confirmed in 2025.

Why it matters

Famine is the most extreme humanitarian failure, almost always man-made by conflict.

What moves it

War, sieges, aid access, harvest failure, funding cuts.

HumanitarianChecked dailyChecked 1 Nov, 11:52 UK. At this level since 31 Oct, 11:26.

Status at each of the last 2 checks

How it's rated

Alert
Famine (IPC Phase 5) confirmed in at least one area.
Watch
IPC Phase 5 projected or 'risk of famine' alerts.
Normal
No IPC Phase 5 (Famine) classifications or projections.

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