{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"drc-east","name":"DR Congo (east)","domain":"conflict","domain_name":"Armed Conflict","status":"watch","trend":"stable","horizon":"acute","tier":"daily","value":"Kivu clashes; no city changed hands","value_num":null,"summary":"Fighting persists in the Kivus; US sanctions Rwanda's defence ministry","state":"Clashes between the M23-led alliance and pro-government forces continued in North and South Kivu in late October, including fighting in the Kalehe hills, with no major city changing hands as of 1 Nov. On 28 Oct the US sanctioned Rwanda's Ministry of Defence for supporting the rebellion.","for_you":"The conflict affects supply of minerals such as coltan and tin used in electronics.","rubric_hit":"Active fighting or a fragile ceasefire.","situations":[],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T23:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Critical Threats — Congo War Security Review","url":"https://www.criticalthreats.org/briefs/congo-war-security-review","date":"2026-10-21"},{"title":"Washington Post — US sanctions Rwanda over M23","url":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/10/28/congo-rwanda-m23-us/af4564ca-d2f7-11f1-9931-2a41b76fc976_story.html","date":"2026-10-28"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/drc-east","why":"A long war over mineral-rich territory, drawing in Rwanda and threatening a wider Great Lakes conflict.","drivers":"M23/AFC advances, Rwanda involvement, peace deals, mineral trade.","rubric":{"alert":"Capture of a major city, or direct interstate fighting.","watch":"Active fighting or a fragile ceasefire.","normal":"Peace agreements holding; no major offensives."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","watch",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","watch",null]]}