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Canary Global risk status

Crypto stress

Normal · Markets

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

NormalStableBTC $77,785, -10% from high

Bitcoin 10% below its high; no stablecoin or exchange stress reported

Why it's at this level

Bitcoin traded around $77,800 at 11:40 UTC on 1 Nov, about 10% below its 52-week high and well inside the 25% Watch line. No major stablecoin de-peg or exchange failure has been reported as of 1 Nov.

What this means for you

Crypto markets are not currently a source of wider financial stress.

Why it matters

Crypto is now plumbed into mainstream finance via ETFs and stablecoins; a crash or de-peg can spill into funding markets.

What moves it

Liquidity, leverage, regulation, stablecoin reserves, exchange solvency.

MarketsChecked every runChecked 1 Nov, 11:52 UK. At this level since 31 Oct, 11:26.

Status at each of the last 8 checks

How it's rated

Alert
Drawdown > 45%, or a major stablecoin de-pegs (> 3% for > 24h), or a top-10 exchange fails.
Watch
Drawdown 25–45%, or a top-10 exchange/stablecoin under stress.
Normal
Bitcoin drawdown from 52-week high < 25% and no major stablecoin/exchange incidents.

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