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Canary Global risk status

Critical minerals

Watch · Energy & Commodities

Assessed by an AI model against this signal's rubric. Describes conditions; not a forecast or advice.

WatchWorseningChina rare-earth pause ends 10 Nov

China's rare-earth export pause expires 10 Nov; helium squeeze persists

Why it's at this level

China's suspension of some rare-earth export controls expires on 10 Nov, with no renewal announced as of late October. The loss of Qatari helium through Hormuz, plus China's July helium export ban, has created shortages for chipmakers; the US has designated helium a critical material. No production stoppages outside China have been confirmed.

What this means for you

Shortages of specialist materials can raise costs and delay electronics, vehicles and defence equipment.

Why it matters

Rare earths, gallium, germanium and graphite are chokepoints for chips, EVs and defence — and China dominates processing.

What moves it

Export controls, trade disputes, mine outages, stockpiling.

Energy & CommoditiesChecked dailyChecked 1 Nov, 11:52 UK. At this level since 31 Oct, 11:26.

Status at each of the last 2 checks

How it's rated

Alert
Export bans in force that are causing reported production stoppages outside China.
Watch
New export controls announced or licensing slowed.
Normal
No new export restrictions in the past month.

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