{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"chokepoints","name":"Shipping chokepoints","domain":"energy","domain_name":"Energy & Commodities","status":"alert","trend":"worsening","horizon":"acute","tier":"fast","value":"Hormuz: single-digit transits/day","value_num":null,"summary":"Tanker attacks near Hormuz on 29–30 Oct; Red Sea route still contested","state":"Iran's navy said a tanker caught fire after striking mines near Hormuz on 31 Oct, and Iran reported four such fires that day; Oman rescued 25 crew from a burning vessel on 30 Oct. Ship attacks near the strait hit a record in October. Iran's terms for reopening, discussed in Doha on 31 Oct, include sanctions relief and recognition of its routes.","for_you":"Disrupted shipping lanes raise fuel and goods prices and lengthen delivery times. FCDO advice applies for travel to the Gulf region.","rubric_hit":"Hormuz traffic materially impeded, or any chokepoint closed, or two or more disrupted at once.","situations":["us-iran-war"],"provenance":"reporting","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"Al Jazeera — Iran FM says US outreach a 'positive step' as delegation in Qatar","url":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/31/iran-fm-says-us-outreach-a-positive-step-as-delegation-in-qatar-for-talks","date":"2026-10-31"},{"title":"Khaleej Times — Iran war live updates, 31 October","url":"https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/mena/us-israel-iran-saudi-arabia-yemen-war-live-updates-october-31-2026","date":"2026-10-31"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/chokepoints","why":"Around 30% of seaborne oil and much container trade passes Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb/Suez, Panama and Malacca; disruption raises prices worldwide.","drivers":"Houthi/Iran attacks, war-risk insurance, drought (Panama), naval incidents, piracy.","rubric":{"alert":"Hormuz traffic materially impeded, or any chokepoint closed, or two or more disrupted at once.","watch":"One chokepoint disrupted (attacks, large-scale diversions, draught restrictions).","normal":"All major chokepoints operating normally."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","alert",null],["2026-10-31T11:43:28Z","alert",null],["2026-10-31T11:44:16Z","alert",null],["2026-10-31T17:48:45Z","alert",null],["2026-10-31T23:53:37Z","alert",null],["2026-10-31T23:53:42Z","alert",null],["2026-11-01T05:43:22Z","alert",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","alert",null]]}