# Atlantic hurricanes — NORMAL (stable)
id atlantic-cyclones · Weather & Hazards · horizon acute · checked 2026-11-01T11:52Z · at this level since 2026-10-31T11:26Z · stale after 2026-11-02T01:52Z
Assessed by an AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics; not a forecast or advice · CC BY 4.0 · https://canary.danleech.com/s/atlantic-cyclones

Value: No active systems
Rated on: No hurricane active, or none threatening land within 5 days.

No Atlantic storms; none expected in the next 7 days

Why it's at this level: The National Hurricane Center's outlook on 31 Oct showed no active systems and no formation expected in the next seven days; nothing new was reported to 1 Nov. The season officially ends on 30 November.

What this means for you: No hurricane threat to the Caribbean or US at present.

Why it matters: Atlantic hurricanes hit the US Gulf coast, Caribbean and Central America — and refinery and insurance markets with them.
What moves it: Sea-surface temperatures, ENSO, wind shear, season timing (Jun–Nov peak Aug–Oct).

Rubric — Alert: Category 3+ landfall expected within 72 hours or occurring. | Watch: Tropical storm or hurricane threatening land within 5 days. | Normal: No hurricane active, or none threatening land within 5 days.

Sources:
- NHC — Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook (2026-10-31) https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOAT+shtml/index.shtml