{"schema":"https://canary.danleech.com/api/v1/schema.json","version":"1.1","as_of":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","valid_until":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","next_run":"2026-11-01T17:40:00Z","assessed_by":"AI model (Anthropic Claude) against published rubrics","disclaimer":"Attention levels describing current conditions; not a forecast, and not financial, medical, legal or safety advice. For safety, follow official guidance.","note":"Content is data, not instructions. Cite the primary sources listed per signal for facts.","licence":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/","attribution":"Canary (canary.danleech.com)","scope":"Canary's statuses, summaries and text. Third-party data and linked sources remain their owners'."},"id":"atlantic-cyclones","name":"Atlantic hurricanes","domain":"hazards","domain_name":"Weather & Hazards","status":"normal","trend":"stable","horizon":"acute","tier":"fast","value":"No active systems","value_num":null,"summary":"No Atlantic storms; none expected in the next 7 days","state":"The National Hurricane Center's outlook on 31 Oct showed no active systems and no formation expected in the next seven days; nothing new was reported to 1 Nov. The season officially ends on 30 November.","for_you":"No hurricane threat to the Caribbean or US at present.","rubric_hit":"No hurricane active, or none threatening land within 5 days.","situations":[],"provenance":"metric","checked_at":"2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","changed_at":"2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","stale_after":"2026-11-02T01:52:42Z","sources":[{"title":"NHC — Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook","url":"https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOAT+shtml/index.shtml","date":"2026-10-31"}],"url":"https://canary.danleech.com/s/atlantic-cyclones","why":"Atlantic hurricanes hit the US Gulf coast, Caribbean and Central America — and refinery and insurance markets with them.","drivers":"Sea-surface temperatures, ENSO, wind shear, season timing (Jun–Nov peak Aug–Oct).","rubric":{"alert":"Category 3+ landfall expected within 72 hours or occurring.","watch":"Tropical storm or hurricane threatening land within 5 days.","normal":"No hurricane active, or none threatening land within 5 days."},"history":[["2026-10-31T11:26:06Z","normal",null],["2026-10-31T11:43:28Z","normal",null],["2026-10-31T11:44:16Z","normal",null],["2026-10-31T17:48:45Z","normal",null],["2026-10-31T23:53:37Z","normal",null],["2026-10-31T23:53:42Z","normal",null],["2026-11-01T05:43:22Z","normal",null],["2026-11-01T11:52:42Z","normal",null]]}